Maple Leafs vs. Penguins Prediction & Picks - December 7

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The Pittsburgh Penguins (11-13-4), winners of three home games in a row, host the Toronto Maple Leafs (16-8-2) at PPG Paints Arena on Saturday at 7:00 PM ET on ESPN+.

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Before watching this matchup, here is our pick for which club will bring home the win in Saturday's hockey action.

In the past 10 contests for the Penguins, their offense has totaled 29 goals while their defense has allowed 35 (they have a 5-4-1 record in those games). In 30 power-play opportunities during that span, they have scored eight goals (26.7% success rate).

Maple Leafs vs. Penguins Predictions for Saturday

Our computer model for this encounter expects a final score of Maple Leafs 4, Penguins 3.

  • Moneyline Pick: Maple Leafs (-162)
  • Total Pick: No Pick - Predicted Margin Negligible
  • Spread Pick: Penguins (+1.5)

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Maple Leafs Splits and Trends

  • The Maple Leafs have a 16-8-2 record overall, with a 2-2-4 record in games that have required overtime.
  • Toronto has 10 points (4-1-2) in the seven games it has played that were decided by one goal.
  • In the five games this season the Maple Leafs scored just one goal, they finished 0-4-1.
  • Toronto has lost both games this season when it scored two goals.
  • The Maple Leafs have scored at least three goals 17 times, and are 16-0-1 in those games (to record 33 points).
  • In the seven games when Toronto has recorded a lone power-play goal, it picked up 11 points after finishing 5-1-1.
  • In the 11 games when it outshot its opponent, Toronto is 7-4-0 (14 points).
  • The Maple Leafs' opponents have had more shots in 14 games. The Maple Leafs finished 9-3-2 in those matchups (20 points).

Penguins Splits and Trends

  • The Penguins (11-13-4 overall) have posted a record of 4-4-8 in matchups that have gone to OT this season.
  • Pittsburgh has earned 12 points (5-1-2) in its eight games that finished with a one-goal margin.
  • This season the Penguins registered just one goal in five games and they lost every time.
  • Pittsburgh has earned six points (2-3-2 record) this season when scoring two goals .
  • The Penguins have scored three or more goals in 14 games, earning 20 points from those contests.
  • This season, Pittsburgh has scored a lone power-play goal in 12 games and registered nine points with a record of 3-6-3.
  • When outshooting its opponent this season, Pittsburgh is 6-2-3 (15 points).
  • The Penguins' opponents have had more shots in 17 games. The Penguins finished 5-11-1 in those matchups (11 points).

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Team Stats Comparison

Maple Leafs Rank Maple Leafs AVG Penguins AVG Penguins Rank
16th 3 Goals Scored 2.79 23rd
2nd 2.54 Goals Allowed 3.79 32nd
13th 29.2 Shots 29.7 11th
18th 28.6 Shots Allowed 32.8 31st
18th 19.51% Power Play % 21.52% 14th
3rd 83.52% Penalty Kill % 80.25% 14th

Maple Leafs vs. Penguins Game Time and TV Channel

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