Capitals vs. Penguins Prediction & Picks - February 22

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Two clubs at opposite ends of their conference's standings, the Washington Capitals (first in the Eastern Conference at 36-11-8) and the Pittsburgh Penguins (14th in the Eastern Conference at 23-25-9), square off on Saturday, February 22 at 3:00 PM ET on ABC.

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Prepare for this showdown with a look at who we predict will emerge with the victory in Saturday's contest.

In the last 10 games, the Penguins have gone 4-5-1. They have put up 22 goals, while their opponents have scored 23. They have gone on the power play 24 times during that span, and have capitalized with three goals (12.5% of opportunities).

Capitals vs. Penguins Predictions for Saturday

Our computer projections model for this matchup predicts a final tally of Capitals 4, Penguins 3.

  • Moneyline Pick: Capitals (-163)
  • Total Pick: Over 6 (computer predicts 6.3 goals on average)
  • Spread Pick: Penguins (+1.5)

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Capitals Splits and Trends

  • The Capitals are 36-11-8 overall and 5-8-13 in overtime games.
  • Washington has 27 points (11-4-5) in the 20 games it has played that were decided by one goal.
  • The six times this season the Capitals ended a game with just one goal, they went 1-4-1 (three points).
  • Washington has taken five points from the eight games this season when it scored a pair of goals (2-5-1 record).
  • The Capitals have scored more than two goals in 40 games (33-1-6, 72 points).
  • In the 21 games when Washington has recorded a lone power-play goal, it went 14-4-3 to record 31 points.
  • In games when it has outshot its opponent, Washington is 20-5-3 (43 points).
  • The Capitals have been outshot by opponents in 25 games, going 15-5-5 to record 35 points.

Penguins Splits and Trends

  • The Penguins have a record of 23-25-9 this season and are 7-9-16 in overtime games.
  • Pittsburgh has earned 24 points (10-3-4) in its 17 games that finished with a one-goal margin.
  • This season the Penguins registered just one goal in nine games and they lost every time.
  • Pittsburgh has nine points (2-8-5) when scoring exactly two goals this season.
  • The Penguins have scored three or more goals 29 times, earning 46 points from those matchups (21-4-4).
  • This season, Pittsburgh has recorded a single power-play goal in 21 games has a record of 7-10-4 in those matchups.
  • When outshooting its opponent this season, Pittsburgh is 12-8-4 (28 points).
  • The Penguins have been outshot by opponents 30 times this season, and earned 25 points in those games.

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Team Stats Comparison

Capitals Rank Capitals AVG Penguins AVG Penguins Rank
2nd 3.56 Goals Scored 2.86 18th
3rd 2.49 Goals Allowed 3.44 30th
23rd 27.5 Shots 28.6 16th
11th 27.6 Shots Allowed 30.3 29th
11th 23.23% Power Play % 24.84% 8th
5th 82.61% Penalty Kill % 79.61% 15th

Capitals vs. Penguins Game Time and TV Channel

  • When: Saturday, February 22, 2025 at 3:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ABC
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Where: PPG Paints Arena in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania

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