The Pittsburgh Penguins (10-6-5) square off against the Buffalo Sabres (9-9-4) at PPG Paints Arena on Wednesday, Nov. 26 at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The Penguins lost to the Seattle Kraken 3-2 in overtime in their most recent game, while the Sabres are coming off a 4-1 win over the Carolina Hurricanes.

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Here is our prediction for who will capture the win in Wednesday's game.

In the past 10 games, the Sabres have gone 4-5-1. They have scored 34 goals, while allowing their opponents to score 32. They have gone on the power play 27 times during that span, and have capitalized with four goals (14.8% of opportunities).

Penguins vs. Sabres Predictions for Wednesday

Our computer projection model for this matchup calls for a final score of Penguins 4, Sabres 2.

Moneyline Pick: Penguins (-115)
Total Pick: Under 6.5 (computer predicts 6.2 goals on average)
Spread Pick: Pick Em

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Penguins Splits and Trends

The Penguins have gone -5-5 in overtime matchups on their way to an overall record of 10-6-5.
Pittsburgh is 1-3-2 (four points) in its six games decided by one goal.
In the three games this season the Penguins recorded just one goal, they've finished 0-1-2 (two points).
Pittsburgh finished 0-2-2 in the four games this season when it scored a pair of goals (registering two points).
The Penguins have scored three or more goals 13 times, and are 10-2-1 in those games (to register 21 points).
In the seven games when Pittsburgh has recorded a single power-play goal, it went 2-3-2 to register six points.
In the nine games when it outshot its opponent, Pittsburgh is 4-3-2 (10 points).
The Penguins' opponents have had more shots in 11 games. The Penguins finished 5-3-3 in those contests (13 points).

Sabres Splits and Trends

The Sabres have a 2-4-6 record in overtime games this season and a 9-9-4 overall record.
Buffalo has earned six points (1-0-4) in its five games that finished with a one-goal margin.
This season the Sabres scored just one goal in three games and they finished 0-2-1 in those matchups.
Buffalo failed to win all three games this season when it scored exactly two goals.
The Sabres have earned 21 points in their 14 games with more than two goals scored.
This season, Buffalo has capitalized on a lone power-play goal in seven games and registered 10 points with a record of 4-1-2.
When outshooting its opponent this season, Buffalo is 2-3-2 (six points).
The Sabres have been outshot by opponents in 15 games, going 7-6-2 to record 16 points.

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Team Stats Comparison