audio version of the segment here > The affordability narrative is going to backfire on the Dems
Jay Weber Show transcript 12-10-25
I tell you: these democrats are going to be shocked that they put all their electoral eggs into this ‘affordability’ basket, only to see the economy improve markedly next year. It’s a strategic mistake that is going to come back to haunt them. They’re setting up a trap for themselves by focusing ‘everything they’ve got’ on the cost of living and focusing on how…quote…Trump isn’t doing anything about it.
The truth is: he and his team are doing ‘all sorts of things’ about it…and their efforts are going to be far more evident by august of next year.
The great conservative thinker, Cal Thomas, says this reminds him of the transition period between the Carter economy and the Reagan economy 40 years ago, and I agree.
Relentlessly. It should be asked against the backdrop if a ‘clearly improved’ economy and with the democrats having made the entire election about quote…affordability.
I’m serious when i say- only a party full of nitwit leaders of the sort that today’s democrat party has- could decide to go ‘all in’ on this campaign theme for next year. It proves to me that none of these democrat leaders have any clue about what it takes to build or nurture an economy or build or nurture the American dream. And it’s likely to cost them next fall.
I-would-point out that it took nearly 4 years for Reagan’s fixes to turn around the carter-era economy and Cal Thomas did note that…in that first midyear election democrats picked up two dozen seats because Reagan was newly into office and his policies hadn’t taken hold yet. There’s a chance that the Trump/GOP effort to turn around Biden’s mess also won’t be evident to voters by next fall…
In fact, it’s what the democrats and their campaign of gaslighting depends on…
But given that we are -already seeing- evidence of some prices coming down. The price of gas and energy is down dramatically. The markets are on a good run. Plenty of room for interest rates to be dropped and spur growth and business investment and home sales…etc.
I do believe the trump economy will recover faster than Reagan’s did. And yes, i do think it will be more evident to most voters by the time they start voting next year. Trump might insist that this ‘affordability’ issue is a load of crap that’s being invented by the very same people who ruined the economy and created 40 year high inflation- and it is- But it could also be the ‘load of crap’ that runs the democrats right into an electoral wall next fall. And it could be fun to watch.
I talked about some of the ways the economy has already improved- yesterday- and previewed this week’s fed meeting which should. Should. End with at least a slight interest rate cut being announced later today.
It wasn’t evident going into the meeting which way the fed governors and Jerome Powell were leaning…but according to the Wall St journal later in the day the feeling is that Powell might be the one who nudges the board into at least a quarter point cut.
The current inflation rate is at 2.8 percent and is, basically, stuck there since trump retook office. It is hovering around three, when economists want it to be hovering around two. And that’s what as roughly half of the fed governors, apparently, thinking we should simply keep things as they are…rather than try to spur more growth…and possibly more inflation…by engaging in another rate cut. Even if it’s a small one.
I’m not an economist, but I pretend to be one all the time, and I see a quarter point cut as basically ‘splitting the baby’. It gives ‘something’ to the more bullish Trump types while not ‘really’ releasing the economic hounds. And so, that’s probably the way they go.
If they cut the rate too much, inflation could be four percent in spring…but if they don’t cut it enough…the damage to the jobs market that just went thru massive layoffs in fall…could be more permanent. So, it’s a delicate balancing act.
The bottom line, though, is that trump and his team-are- fixing this economy…and i frankly don’t believe the polls we are seeing that show ‘most’ Americans blaming trump.
I pointed to an ABC poll that showed four in ten Americans say they are paying more for gasoline under Trump. But they aren’t.
No one is paying more for gasoline under Trump, and so, if you say you are, you are either a nitwit or you are a rabid leftist who simply wanted to answer the poll that way.
Gas prices are down under 3 dollars a gallon, nationally, as of this week, my friends. We are paying about 2.40 or 2.50 here…and the national average has slipped down to 2.95 a gallon this week. Even CNN’s analysts had to acknowledge this news.
The average American is probably paying-at this moment- somewhere between 80 cents and a dollar less- per gallon-than they were when Biden left office. And so, if four in ten nitwits say, ‘no we’re not’? How are the rest of us supposed to respond to that? And why would ABC or the larger news media put any credibility into their findings?
The only possible ‘take away’ from that result is…the average American might be too ignorant or naive to see what’s going on…but…that’s why it’s going to take some time for an ‘improving’ economy to become more evident to people.
I had to be asked by….at least six people yesterday…are you retiring because the stock market has been on such a run?
The answer is no. But that has been a wonderful bonus.
But the answer is also, ‘yes’....it isn’t a mistake that i am timing the exit from my daily show to coincide with the trump presidency, where-in he and the administration are pro-business, pro-growth, and pro-market.
And for those who still haven’t heard I am still going to be with iHeart media next year but am transitioning to a two-a-week podcast in sort of a ‘semi-retirement’ after 38 years in radio and 35 here on WISN. Thank you all for being such loyal listeners.
So, did the improvement of economy factor into my decision? Not specifically, but the fact that trump is back in office and making the moves he is and will be in office for three more years- did. es.
His first term economy was simply ‘too good’ for his second term economy to be a train wreck. Those are the odds I was betting on.
Another healthy indicator? How much any talk of trump ‘failing’ in this regard bothers him. Sincerely. I love to see Trump so annoyed, so prickly any time a reporter suggests that he isn’t focusing on the economy or fixing things.
This is the frustration of a man whose team-really is- ‘fixing it’.... while also not getting any credit for it, yet. That’s Trump’s frustration with the whole affordability theme. The charge that he’s responsible for the high prices now and/or that he hasn’t done enough to lower them…is bologna in his mind…and it annoys him to no end that this is yet another thing he’s not going to get credit for.
The fact that it makes him angry that he’s being perceived as failing. Honestly? Is why I’m bullish on the next three years: a lesser president would just let it roll off his back. Not Trump. He-by God-is going to fix this economy and -by God- is going to demand he get credit for it.
Great. Numerous important changes have already been made. By next summer…most Americans will likely feel differently and more optimistic about their personal situation and the economy…
And if so…desperate democrats are going to be clinging to an obvious lie and a foolish 2026 narrative. That’d be my prediction.
photo credit: Gregory Jon